← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/12/2024
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 9/12/2024
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
39.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1159
Q1 1215
Q3 1428
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 19.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Arisanna | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
